Local Researchers Forecast Spread Of Ebola

CBS Boston

BOSTON (CBS) — Don’t be surprised if there are a few more Ebola cases in the United States in the next couple months.

That’s according to a Northeastern University researcher who’s created a forecasting map to predict the spread of the deadly disease. He warns it’s not an exact science, and says a vaccine could change everything.

“We have projections for one or two cases at the most during November, December,” Alessandro Vespignani said.

He’s leading a team of Northeastern researchers who use a computer mapping model to crunch census data with airport activity and countless other factors.

“We do not expect a large outbreak in the United States,” he said.

He compares the Ebola outbreak to a forest fire that sometimes shoots off sparks far away. The only way to contain the fire, he says, is to stop it in its source, West Africa.

That becomes more difficult as doctors…

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